OPERATIONAL IT RISK FORECASTING AND ANALYSIS BASED ON BAYESIAN BELIEF NETWORKS
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Project Portfolio Risk Response Selection Using Bayesian Belief Networks
Risk identification, impact assessment, and response planning constitute three building blocks of project risk management. Correspondingly, three types of interactions could be envisioned between risks, between impacts of several risks on a portfolio component, and between several responses. While the interdependency of risks is a well-recognized issue, the other two types of interactions remai...
متن کاملmortality forecasting based on lee-carter model
over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...
15 صفحه اولGreen Supply Chain Risk Network Management and Performance Analysis: Bayesian Belief Network Modeling
With the increase in environmental awareness, competitions and government policies, implementation of green supply chain management activities to sustain production and conserve resources is becoming more necessary for different organizations. However, it is difficult to successfully implement green supply chain (GSC) activities because of the risks involved. These risks alongside their resourc...
متن کاملBelief networks / Bayesian networks
Introduction In modeling real world tasks, one inevitably has to deal with uncertainty. This uncertainty is due to the fact that many facts are unknown and or simply ignored and summarized. Suppose that one morning you find out that your grass is wet. Is it due to rain, or is it due to the sprinkler? If there is no other information, you can only talk in terms of probabilities. In a probabilist...
متن کاملSoftware Quality Assessment and Project Risk Management Based on Bayesian Belief Networks
The ability to reliably predict the risk for a software project presents a significant advantage for a development team. It provides an opportunity to address high risk components earlier in the development life cycle, when their impact is minimized. This article proposes a Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs) model that captures the evolution of the quality of a software product and provides reliab...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2587-9251,2413-2829
DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2018-2-154-160